Sunday, February 24, 2013

2012 Oscar Predictions

2012 Oscar Predictions:
Okay, I'll finally commit to these predictions. Jesus Christ, this year is so unpredictable. It's stressing me out.
If you want to see what the [other, ha!] experts are predicting, you can look at this feature on Metacritic.

Best Picture
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Life of Pi
5. Zero Dark Thirty
6. Amour
7. Les Miserables
8. Django Unchained
9. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Will Win: Argo
Could Win: none
Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director
1. Ang Lee, Life of Pi
2. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
3. Michael Haneke, Amour
4. David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
5. Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Will Win: Ang Lee
Could Win: Michael Haneke or Steven Spielberg or David O. Russell
Should Win: Michael Haneke

Best Actor
1. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
2. Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
3. Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
4. Denzel Washington, Flight
5. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Could Win: none
Should Win: Joaquin Phoenix

Best Actress
1. Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
2. Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
3. Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
4. Quevenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
5. Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Will Win: Emmanuelle Riva
Could Win: Jennifer Lawrence
Should Win: Emmanuelle Riva

Best Supporting Actor
1. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
2. Robert de Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
3. Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
4. Alan Arkin, Argo
5. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Will Win: Robert de Niro
Could Win: Tommy Lee Jones or Christoph Waltz
Should Win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman

Best Supporting Actress
1. Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
2. Sally Field, Lincoln
3. Helen Hunt, The Sessions
4. Amy Adams, The Master
5. Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
Will/Should Win: Anne Hathaway
Could Win: none

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. Chris Terrio, Argo
2. Tony Kushner, Lincoln
3. David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
4. David Magee, Life of Pi
5. Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Will Win: Chris Terrio
Could Win: Tony Kushner or David O. Russell
Should Win: Tony Kushner

Best Original Screenplay
1. Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
2. Michael Haneke, Amour
3. Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
4. Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom
5. John Gatins, Flight
Will/Should Win: Mark Boal
Could Win: Michael Haneke or Quentin Tarantino

Best Cinematography
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Anna Karenina
4. Lincoln
5. Django Unchained
Will Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Skyfall
Should Win: Anna Karenina

Best Costume Design
1. Anna Karenina
2. Les Miserables
3. Lincoln
4. Mirror Mirror
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Will Win: Anna Karenina
Could Win: Les Miserables
Should Win: Mirror Mirror

Best Film Editing
1. Argo
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Life of Pi
4. Lincoln
5. Silver Linings Playbook
Will Win: Argo
Could/Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
1. Les Miserables
2. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
3. Hitchcock
Will Win: Les Miserables
Could Win: The Hobbit or Hitchcock
Should Win: The Hobbit (I guess?)

Best Original Score
1. Life of Pi
2. Argo
3. Lincoln
4. Skyfall
5. Anna Karenina
Will/Should Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Argo or Lincoln

Best Original Song
1. "Skyfall," Skyfall
2. "Suddenly," Les Miserables
3. "Everybody Needs a Best Friend," Ted
4. "Pi's Lullaby," Life of Pi
5. "Before My Time," Chasing Ice
Will/Should Win: "Skyfall"
Could Win: none

Best Production Design
1. Anna Karenina
2. Les Miserables
3. Lincoln
4. Life of Pi
5. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Will Win: Les Miserables
Could Win: Anna Karenina or Lincoln or Life of Pi
Should Win: Anna Karenina

Best Sound Editing
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Argo
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Django Unchained
Will Win: Argo
Could Win: Life or Pi or Skyfall or Zero Dark Thirty
Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

Best Sound Mixing
1. Les Miserables
2. Skyfall
3. Life of Pi
4. Argo
5. Lincoln
Will/Should Win: Les Miserables
Could Win: Argo or Skyfall or Life or Pi

Best Visual Effects
1. Life of Pi
2. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
3. Marvel's The Avengers
4. Prometheus
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Will/Should Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: none

Best Animated Feature Film
1. Wreck-It-Ralph
2. Brave
3. Frankenweenie
4. ParaNorman
5. The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Will Win: Wreck-It-Ralph
Could Win: Brave
Should Win: ParaNorman

Best Documentary Feature
1. Searching for Sugar Man
2. The Invisible War
3. The Gatekeepers
4. 5 Broken Cameras
5. How to Survive a Plague
Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man
Could Win: none
Should Win: How to Survive a Plague

Best Foreign Language Film
1. Amour
2. No
3. A Royal Affair
4. Kon-Tiki
5. War Witch
Will/Should Win: Amour
Could Win: none

Best Short - Animated
1. Paperman
2. Adam and Dog
3. Head Over Heels
4. Maggie Simpson in "The Longest Daycare"
5. Fresh Guacamole
Will/Should Win: Paperman
Could Win: Adam and Dog

Best Documentary Short
1. Open Heart
2. Inocente
3. Mondays at Rachine
4. King's Point
5. Redemption
Will/Should Win: Inocente
Could Win: Open Heart or Mondays at Rachine

Best Short - Live Action
1. Curfew
2. Buzkashi Boys
3. Asad
4. Death of a Shadow
5. Henry
Will Win: Buzkashi Boys
Could Win: Curfew or Asad
Should Win: Curfew
My 2012 Oscar Ballot 2012:
These would be my nominations if I voted for the Oscars (aka my Best-of-the-Year list for 2012)

Best Picture
1. Zero Dark Thirty
2. Amour
3. Argo
4. Skyfall
5. Moonrise Kingdom
6. 21 Jump Street
7. How to Survive a Plague
8. Beasts of the Southern Wild
9. Looper
10. Magic Mike
Runners Up: Damsels in Distress, The Queen of Versailles, Middle of Nowhere
Honorable Mentions: Arbitrage; Bernie, The Gatekeepers, The Gatekeepers, End of Watch
Movies I Liked Much More Than I Thought I Would: Pitch Perfect; For a Good Time, Call...; Chronicle; The Grey; Haywire
Movies I Thought I Would Love but Just Simply Liked: The Master, Holy Motors, Marvel's The Avengers, The Dark Knight Rises, Silver Linings Playbook
Movies I Thought I Would Love but Just Simply Disliked: Friends With Kids, Prometheus, Seven Psychopaths, Savages, Snow White and the Huntsman

Best Director
1. Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
2. Michael Haneke, Amour
3. Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
4. Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
5. Wes Anderson, Moonrise Kingdom
Runners Up: Leos Carax, Holy Motors; Ava DuVernay, Middle of Nowhere; Whit Stillman, Damsels in Distress
Honorable Mentions: Rian Johnson, Looper; Sarah Pauley, Take this Waltz; Richard Linklater, Bernie; Nicholas Jarecki, Arbitrage; Steven Soderbergh, Magic Mike

Best Actor
1. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
2. Denis Lavant, Holy Motors
3. Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour
4. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
5. Matthias Schoenaerts, Rust and Bone
Runners Up: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln; Jack Black, Bernie;  Richard Gere, Arbitrage
Honorable Mentions: Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables; Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook; Anders Danielsen Lie, Oslo, August 31st; Liam Neeson, The Grey; Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

Best Actress
1. Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
2. Quevenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
3. Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
4. Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea
5. Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Smashed
Runners Up: Emayatzy Corinealdi, Middle of Nowhere; Ann Dowd, Compliance; Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Honorable Mentions: Michelle Williams, Take this Waltz; Helen Hunt, The Sessions; Nina Hoss, Barbara; Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook; Alicia Vikander, A Royal Affair

Best Supporting Actor
1. Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild
2. Javier Bardem, Skyfall
3. Michael Fassbender, Prometheus
4. Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
5. Michael Peña, End of Watch
Runners Up: Tom Hiddleston, The Deep Blue Sea; Mikkel Boe Folsgaard, A Royal Affair; David Oyelowo, Middle of Nowhere
Honorable Mentions: Eddie Redmayne, Les Miserables; Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln; Jason Clarke, Zero Dark Thirty; Ezra Miller, The Perks of Being a Wallflower; John Goodman, Flight

Best Supporting Actress
1. Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
2. Amy Adams, The Master
3. Lorraine Toussaint, Middle of Nowhere
4. Sally Field, Lincoln
5. Anne Hathaway, The Dark Knight Rises
Runners Up: Salma Hayek, Savages; Susan Sarandon, Arbitrage; Edwina Finley, Middle of Nowhere; 
Honorable MentionsJennifer Ehle, Zero Dark Thirty; Brit Marling, Arbitrage; Charlize Theron, Snow White and the Huntsman; Sarah Silverman, Take this Waltz; Isabelle Huppert, Amour; Emily Blunt, Looper

Best Original Screenplay
1. Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
2. Michael Haneke, Amour
3. Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom
4. Rian Johnson, Looper
5. Ava DuVernay, Middle of Nowhere
Runners UpWhit Stillman, Damsels in Distress; Nicholas Jarecki, Arbitrage; Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Honorable Mentions: David Ayer, End of Watch; Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master; Chris Butler, ParaNorman; Joss Whedon and Drew Goddard, The Cabin in the Woods

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. Tony Kushner, Lincoln
2. Benh Zeitlin and Lucy Alibar, Beasts of the Southern Wild
3. Chris Terrio, Argo
4. Richard Linklater and Skip Hollandsworth, Bernie
5. Stephen Chbosky, The Perks of Being a Wallflower
Runners Up: Jose Rivera, On the Road; David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook; Neal Purvis, Robert Wade, and John Logan, Skyfall
Honorable Mentions: Rasmus Heisterberg and Nikolaj Arcel, A Royal Affair; Pedro Peirano, No; Joachim Trier, Oslo, August 31st; Michael Bacall and Jonah Hill, 21 Jump Street; John Gatins, Flight